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Who to promote, who's about to quit, where it's about to break — four in five companies are just guessing

Everyone has a dashboard. Almost nobody uses it to actually decide anything. Only 18% of CHROs say their organization consistently uses data to make people decisions — the rest are running on instinct, dressed up as strategy.

Ask a CEO whether the company makes people decisions with data, and the answer is yes, obviously — look at the dashboards, the engagement scores, the workforce plan from last quarter's offsite. Ask the CHRO the same question privately, and the story changes.

Only 18% of CHROs say their organization consistently uses data analytics to drive better people decisions. That's from Korn Ferry's survey of 756 HR leaders across more than 50 countries — not a fringe sample, the people actually running these functions. Four out of five admit the quiet truth: who gets promoted, who's flagged as a flight risk, where the org is starting to crack — those calls still get made from the head of the table, not from the numbers underneath it.

"We have workforce planning" is doing a lot of work in that sentence

Every large company has a workforce plan. Almost none of them are actually planning the workforce. 66% of HR leaders admit their workforce planning is really just headcount planning — counting seats to fill, not modeling which skills will be missing in eighteen months or which teams are one resignation away from a real problem. The same leaders say they struggle to prove any return on the strategic planning work they do attempt. It's a budgeting exercise wearing a strategy costume.

That distinction matters because the decisions riding on it aren't small. Who to promote into a critical role. Who to actively work to keep. Where to put next year's development budget. Line those up against how they actually get made, and the gap is uncomfortable:

The assumptionWhat the data shows
We have dashboards, so we decide with data
Only 18% of CHROs say their company consistently uses analytics for people decisions
Our workforce plan tells us what's coming
66% of HR leaders say it's headcount counting, not forecasting skills, risk, or gaps
People analytics pays off once you build it
Only 52% of organizations can point to a measurable business result from it
The annual survey keeps leadership informed
It reports what people felt months ago — after the decision window already closed

The tools that do work are badly outnumbered

It's not that people analytics doesn't work. Only 52% of organizations report a measurable business improvement from it — but among the top-performing teams in that same research, the figure jumps to roughly 90%. The difference isn't the data. It's whether anyone built the muscle to act on it before the moment has passed. Most companies have the former and skipped the latter.

82% of CHROs say their company does not consistently use data to make decisions about its own people. Promotions, retention calls, budget bets — still made on gut feel, dressed up with a dashboard nobody consulted.

Why the annual survey can't fix this

The instinct, when someone points this out, is to reach for the engagement survey — surely that counts as "deciding with data." It doesn't, not for this. A survey fielded once a year tells leadership what people felt several months ago. By the time the results land in a deck, the person who was about to quit has already quit, the manager who needed coaching has already lost the team, and the skill gap that needed filling has already cost a project. It's a record of the past, not a signal about what's coming — useful for compliance, useless for the decision that actually mattered.

What "deciding with data" would actually look like

Strip away the dashboards nobody opens and the survey nobody acts on in time, and the real question is simple: does anyone in the building know, before the resignation letter, before the review cycle, before the budget meeting, what's about to happen with their people? For four out of five companies, the honest answer is still no — they find out the same way everyone always has, after it's too late to do anything but react.

That's not a data problem. It's a timing problem. The companies closing the 18% gap aren't the ones with more dashboards — they're the ones who moved the moment of insight earlier than the moment of damage.

Sources: Korn Ferry, "The Vital Role of CHROs in 2025" (756 HR leaders, 50+ countries); Gartner HR Priorities research on strategic workforce planning, via TRG International (~1,400 HR leaders); Insight222, People Analytics Trends 2025/26 (372 organizations, 20M+ employees).

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